Our new venture growth methodology

Q&A: UK's Downing on private market opportunities; recession odds are now a coin flip; leveraged loan issuers see earnings rise; Vial collects $67M
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The Daily Pitch: VC, PE and M&A
December 1, 2022
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Today's Top Stories  
Unveiling PitchBook's methodology for venture growth
The VC market has changed tremendously since PitchBook developed a methodology for better defining the asset class by stages. The biggest shift has been in the late stage, which up until now was defined as all financings for companies that are more than five years old or have raised a Series C round.

But as VC-backed companies stay private for longer and collect more capital along the way, we have found that the smaller startups in our late-stage dataset have become considerably different from the larger ones.

To better address the variations and trends in late-stage venture, we have created a new category: venture growth stage. This segment is defined as funding rounds Series E or later or financings involving companies that are at least seven years old and have raised at least six VC rounds.

In our latest analyst note, PitchBook analyst Kyle Stanford details how the new stage has changed over the last decade and explains why its risk profile differs from angel, seed, early and late stages.
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Q&A: Investment manager Downing on private market opportunities
(U_Photo/Shutterstock)
While many listed asset managers are looking to increase their exposure to the private markets, one boutique firm already has most of its assets invested in the space.

We spoke to Kostas Manolis, head of private market investments at the UK's Downing, about where there are opportunities and how the firm is adapting to changing investor sentiment.
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A message from CohnReznick  
New guide: 14 key strategies for private equity value creation
The private equity ownership horizon is short, and finding the fastest and most reliable route to value creation is key.

This new ebook from CohnReznick explores 14 value creation “sprints” that enable more immediate top-line, bottom-line, and operational impacts. Whether you're at the onset of an investment, fully involved in implementing an existing value creation plan, or dealing with performance-inhibiting challenges, focusing on these distinct "sprints" can help set you up for a series of early wins and ultimately the timely achievement of your objectives.

Get your copy to give life to your value creation roadmap, with insights for optimizing areas such as:
  • Working capital, finance, and accounting
  • Supply chain, sourcing, and procurement
  • Pricing strategies and sales
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Hard landing ahead? Recession odds are now a coin flip
(tomertu/Shutterstock)
The US faces a roughly 50% chance of a recession before the end of 2023. Here's the good news: An economic contraction, should it occur, is likely to be relatively short and buck the most pessimistic predictions.

That's according to Morningstar analysts, who lay out the case for inflation to fall quickly in 2023. Such an outcome would give the Fed a chance to ease off of monetary tightening and for GDP growth to bounce back in 2024.
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Leveraged loan issuer earnings rise 14% as credit metrics improve
(TippaPatt/Shutterstock)
In a surprising sign of stability at the riskier end of the credit spectrum, US leveraged loan issuers posted robust earnings growth in the third quarter, buoying debt coverage in the process, according to LCD.

The relatively strong showing in the $1.4 trillion asset class is of particular importance as loan issuers face substantially higher funding costs, which grow with each Fed rate hike due to the floating-rate nature of the debt. Other key takeaways from LCD's quarterly earnings analysis:
  • Leverage at publicly filing loan issuers declined slightly.

  • The share of issuers with cash flow coverage of less than 1.5x—a potential red flag—tumbled.

  • Interest coverage—a metric for how easily a company can pay interest expense—has increased substantially from the pandemic-era low of 4.14x.
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FTX collapse could trigger decline in institutional capital in crypto funds
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The FTX collapse sent a chill through the cryptocurrency market. For institutional investors who are already generally skeptical about the legitimacy of crypto, the company's downfall marks another reason to steer clear of the asset class.

With the asset class's promise of high potential returns and minimal correlation to other securities, institutional investors grew more confident in its potential over the past few years. But the FTX meltdown may diminish some of that institutional confidence and undermine the funding of crypto funds.
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Recommended Reads
US and European banks are endeavoring to offload $42 billion in buyout debt—quickly. [Bloomberg]

Americans want to support unions, but are they held back by their understanding of what unions used to be? [The New Yorker]

Junk bonds are seeing a modest end-of-year rally as investors bet on an improved economic outlook in 2023. [The Wall Street Journal]
 
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Quick Takes  
  The Daily Benchmark  
  2017 Vintage Global Secondaries Funds  
  A message from PitchBook Media  
  PitchBook's 2023 Media Kit released  
  VC Deals  
  Vial raises $67M  
  Teampay lands $65M  
  Iecure gets $65M  
  Wedding startup Joy lands $60M  
  OneRail secures $33M  
  ResortPass grabs $26M  
  CommonGround grabs $25M  
  Recycling startup CleanFiber raises $10M  
  PE Deals  
  Nova Infrastructure acquires Xchange Telecom  
  Weinberg sells Hoodmart to Valesco Industries  
  PE firms provide new financing for Job.com  
  Portfolio Companies  
  Kore Power raises $75M from energy services companies  
  Exits & IPOs  
  Sentry acquires VC-backed Codecov  
  Fundraising  
  New Fare debuts with $20M fund  
  Crystal View wraps up $140M  
  Corporate M&A  
  RBC to buy HSBC Canada for $10B+  
 
 
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The Daily Benchmark  
2017 Vintage Global Secondaries Funds
Median IRR
22.60%
Top Quartile IRR
26.99%
1.55x
Median TVPI
Select top performers
Auldbrass Partners Secondary Opportunity Fund II
Northleaf Secondary Partners II
Lexington Middle Market Investors IV
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A message from PitchBook Media  
PitchBook's 2023 Media Kit released
Year to date, PitchBook's newsletters have over 161 million impressions and over 744,000 report downloads. Partnering with PitchBook Media is a way to feature your firm's insights in one of the most popular venues for timely and relevant PE and VC articles, news, asset class reports and custom white label reports.

The brand-new 2023 Media Kit contains all the details to help your firm position itself in front of a VC or PE audience.

Click here to download it today or to speak to someone on the media team.
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VC Deals  
Vial raises $67M
Vial, a contract research organization that supports biotech companies in clinical trials, has secured $67 million in a Series B led by General Catalyst.
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Teampay lands $65M
Spend management platform Teampay has raised $65 million in a Series B led by Fin Capital.
View round
 
View 16 competitors »
 
Iecure gets $65M
Gene editing startup Iecure closed its Series A with $65 million co-led by Novo Holdings and LYFE Capital.
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View similar company »
 
Wedding startup Joy lands $60M
Joy, a platform for planning weddings and hosting gift registries, has secured $60 million in Series B led by General Catalyst.
View round
 
View 7 competitors »
 
OneRail secures $33M
Last-mile logistics company OneRail has raised $33 million in Series B led by Piva Capital and Arsenal Growth Equity.
View round
 
View 51 competitors »
 
ResortPass grabs $26M
ResortPass has raised a $26 million Series B co-led by Declaration Partners and 14W. The company connects users with amenities at hotels and resorts.
View details
 
View 1 competitors »
 
CommonGround grabs $25M
Virtual meeting startup CommonGround, whose investors include Matrix Partners and Grove Ventures, has raised $25 million.
View round
 
View similar company »
 
Recycling startup CleanFiber raises $10M
CleanFiber, which recycles cardboard to create cellulose insulation for homes, has raised $10 million from AXA Investment Managers.
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View 7 competitors »
 
 
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PE Deals  
Nova Infrastructure acquires Xchange Telecom
Investment firm Nova Infrastructure has acquired Xchange Telecom, which provides internet and other services to residential and commercial customers in New York and New Jersey. The deal draws from Nova's Fund I, which closed on $565 million in July.
View details
 
View 16 competitors »
 
Weinberg sells Hoodmart to Valesco Industries
Weinberg Capital Group has sold Ohio-based kitchen ventilation system manufacturer Hoodmart—also known as North American Kitchen Solutions—to Valesco Industries and Centerfield Capital Partners, thereby exiting its 2016 investment.
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View 1 competitors »
 
PE firms provide new financing for Job.com
Recruiting platform Job.com has received financing from Ghost Tree Partners and existing investor Serengeti Asset Management. The company, which received earlier backing from SOJA Ventures, plans to use the funds to grow through acquisitions and speed up its tech development.
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View 3 competitors »
 
 
Portfolio Companies  
Kore Power raises $75M from energy services companies
US lithium-ion battery manufacturer Kore Power has raised $75 million in the first close of a private placement from investors including Siemens Financial Services, which led the round, as well as Quanta Services, Nidec Motor Corporation, Honeywell Ventures and Trog Hawley Capital.
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View similar company »
 
 
Exits & IPOs  
Sentry acquires VC-backed Codecov
Code-monitoring specialist Sentry has purchased Codecov, which has received funding from investors including Draper Associates, BoxGroup and Tribe Capital. Codecov's platform helps to streamline developers' workflows.
View details
 
View 3 competitors »
 
 
Fundraising  
New Fare debuts with $20M fund
New Fare Partners, a firm investing exclusively in early-stage food and beverage startups, has raised $20 million for its first fund. The vehicle will target startups offering next-generation consumer brands, supply chain technologies, marketplaces and more
View details
 
View 2 investments »
 
Crystal View wraps up $140M
Real estate PE investment firm Crystal View Capital has closed its third fund on $140 million, surpassing its target of $95 million. Crystal View Capital Fund III has invested in 46 assets, of which nearly 80% are self-storage.
View fund
 
View investment »
 
 
Corporate M&A  
RBC to buy HSBC Canada for $10B+
Royal Bank of Canada has agreed to purchase HSBC's Canada banking operations for C$13.5 billion (about $10.1 billion), also acquiring the preferred shares and outstanding subordinated debt issued by the bank for roughly C$2.1 billion total.
View details
 
View 19 competitors »
 
 
Chart of the Day  
"VC-backed neural search companies are continuing to achieve traction at the early stage and raise outstanding rounds through economic volatility, as evidenced by the high valuations for Grata, Hebbia, and You, each of which use AI innovations to improve search results and personalization."

Source: Q3 2022 Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning Report
 
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☕ Upper crust

San Francisco's police might get killer robots...
December 01, 2022 View Online | Sign Up | Shop 10% Off

Morning Brew

Fundrise

Good morning. It's December, which means that as of today you're officially allowed to hang up Christmas lights without any judgment from your neighbors. Don't just take our word for it: A recent survey of ~4,000 US homeowners found that Dec. 1 was the day most people identified as acceptable to put up Christmas lights.

OK, but what day is it acceptable to set out the holiday chili to appease Yeetch, the snow creature, so it doesn't cut all the powerlines in your neighborhood?

—Max Knoblauch, Sam Klebanov, Matty Merritt, Abby Rubenstein, Neal Freyman

MARKETS

Nasdaq

$11,468.00

S&P

$4,080.11

Dow

$34,589.77

10-Year

3.606%

Bitcoin

$17,089.73

Biogen

$305.17

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 3:00am ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: November is in the books, and…the stock market isn't a total disaster anymore? Stocks ended up higher for the second straight month, the first time they've gone back-to-back in the green since 2021. Yesterday's rally was fueled by Jerome Powell, who made it clear he's willing to start slowing down rate hikes as soon as the next Fed meeting. Meanwhile, Biogen got a boost from the news that its experimental Alzheimer's drug slowed cognitive decline.
 

LABOR

Striker, no striking!

A train Mario Tama/Getty Images

With a potentially economically devastating nationwide rail strike looming in early December, the US House yesterday passed a resolution that would force rail worker unions to accept a tentative agreement with management and make any strikes illegal.

In a 290–137 bipartisan vote, the House approved the resolution just a day after President Biden urged congressional leaders to avert a strike. A second resolution that passed with support from just three Republicans would grant rail workers seven days of paid sick leave (a major sticking point in the negotiations).

The vote marks the first time Congress has flexed its power to block a national rail strike since the 1990s. Back then, President Biden was one of six senators to oppose the bill that ended a 1992 rail strike, arguing against government interference in labor.

What gives Congress a say anyway?

Normally, Congress can't intervene too heavily in private labor disputes. But since the US economy is so dependent on rail, the Railway Labor Act was passed in 1926 to give the House and Senate the authority to prevent a national strike. It was expanded to include airline workers in the 1930s.

The impact really would be significant: Estimates say a strike would cost the US economy about $2 billion a day, and its ripple effects could include global food shortages.

Because there's so much at stake economically, rail workers have huge power to effect change. The eight-hour workday and Labor Day are both results of past rail strikes.

What's next? The Senate is expected to vote on the resolutions soon, since a strike could effectively start as early as this weekend. Both measures will require the support of 60 senators, which some lawmakers say is less likely for the sick leave provision. On Tuesday, Senator Bernie Sanders tweeted in support of rail workers, claiming he would block legislation until a vote occurred on the seven sick day resolution.—MK

        

TOGETHER WITH FUNDRISE

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Fun fact (in not-so-fun financial times): Fundrise produced its strongest ever relative performance during the first half of 2022, beating the S&P 500 on an absolute basis by nearly 25%.*

Another fun fact? Fundrise just posted its 21st consecutive quarter of positive returns. And it's all thanks to the portfolio's $6b worth of real estate assets, which are very well positioned to outperform the market, even during economic downturns.

Start building wealth with Fundrise today.

WORLD

Tour de headlines

Sam Bankman-Fried at the DealBook conference

Sam Bankman-Fried: "I've had a bad month." In a much-hyped live interview with the New York Times, the former FTX CEO denied that he ever tried to commit fraud, and blamed his crypto exchange's epic collapse on lax risk management that spiraled out of hand. SBF also acknowledged he's talking to the press despite the wishes of his lawyers, since anything he says will be used by the army of investigators looking into whether any crimes were committed.

Democrats picked Hakeem Jeffries as their leader. The 52-year-old New York representative will serve as House minority leader when the new Congress takes over in January, becoming the first Black American to lead a major political party in Congress. He ran unopposed to take the reins from longstanding leader Nancy Pelosi, who will still represent her district. On the other side of the aisle, GOP Rep. Kevin McCarthy is still working to scrounge up enough votes to become speaker of the House.

Fed rate hikes could get smaller as soon as December. Investors spend a lot of time trying to guess what Jerome Powell is thinking, but yesterday they didn't have to, because he said in a speech: "The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting." Despite that signal that rate hikes are likely about to slow down, Powell did warn that the fight against inflation was far from over, so there could still be more pain ahead.

TECH

SF police get green light for deadly robots

SFPD police cars Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Robots that kill might be coming to the world's tech capital. San Francisco supervisors voted 8–3 on Tuesday to allow the city's police department to use remote-controlled robots to deliver potentially lethal force.

But deadly robots can only be used as a last resort measure when lives are in danger and all other options like de-escalation tactics and alternative force have been exhausted.

The police department has already been using robots for various purposes for years. But none of the devices they currently own is fitted with weapons—and SFPD says there are no plans to arm them with guns. Robots could, however, be used to deliver explosives "to contact, incapacitate, or disorient violent, armed, or dangerous suspect[s]," according to SFPD spokesperson Allison Maxie.

The debate over the proposal stirred longstanding tensions between those eager to support law enforcement amid heightened levels of violent crime, and those concerned about potential police misconduct. The ACLU and San Francisco's public defender strongly opposed the proposal.

Zoom out: If SFPD does end up sending a lethal robot after a suspect, it wouldn't be a first. In 2016, Dallas police successfully deployed a robot armed with an explosive against a man who had killed five officers in a shootout.—SK

        

FOOD & BEV

Being a lil soft on the inside finally pays off

French reps holding baguettes at UNESCO conference. Gif: Dianna "Mick" McDougall, Photos: UNESCO

No slice of sourdough or biscuit has achieved a status as high as the French baguette. The iconic long loaf was added to UNESCO's list of intangible cultural heritage practices yesterday, meaning that the UN agency believes the tradition of baking and enjoying baguettes should be preserved.

The average French person consumes half a baguette every day, so the country consumes about 10 billion loaves of bread every year. Plus, baguettes are an integral part of French culture, like high-end fashion and Emily in Paris.

More than bragging rights: The country's baking industry now has the opportunity to apply for funding to help preserve its yeasty tradition. This is vital, as traditional bakeries are disappearing at an alarming rate: Around 400 bakeries in the country have vanished every year for the last 50 years.

Baguettes join a star-studded list. UNESCO, famous for its cultural heritage site list, released its first collection of "intangible" cultural practices in 2008. Guatemala's Holy Week and traditional tea-making practices in China were also added to the list this year, among others. Weirdly, no mention of Skyline Chili.—MM

        

GRAB BAG

Key performance indicators

Spotify's list of most streamed artists Spotify

Stat: Spotify released its Spotify Wrapped end-of-year review yesterday. And while everyone shared Mad Libs graphics of their own daily listening vibes, the company also released data on what the world more broadly was listening to in 2022. This year's most streamed artist was Bad Bunny for the second year in a row, and the song of 2022 was by an artist who didn't even crack the top five: Harry Styles with "As it Was." Last but not least: If you have a recently married cousin you probably already know this…but streams of Spotify's playlist "Country Wedding" jumped 620% this year.

Quote: "We are meeting because we're prime ministers."

New Zealand's Jacinda Ardern and Finland's Sanna Marin quickly shut down a reporter's suggestion that they were only meeting with each other because of their similar ages and other "common stuff." Ardern wondered aloud whether Barack Obama and former NZ Prime Minister John Key were ever asked a similar question, and both women stressed that the purpose of their meeting was to further economic cooperation between their nations. It's not the first time either politician has faced sexism: Marin drew criticism for a video of her out dancing, while Arden took flak for adjusting her schedule to breastfeed after the birth of her daughter.

Read: Why street lights around the world are turning purple, and what it tells us about our supply chain. (Insider)

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • The EU warned Elon Musk yesterday that Twitter could be banned in Europe unless it follows the strict content moderation rules imposed by a new law.
  • A new wave of layoffs began yesterday, with DoorDash cutting 1,250 corporate workers, CNN starting to trim its staff, and crypto exchange Kraken shedding 1,100 employees.
  • Amazon said it had its biggest holiday shopping weekend ever from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday. Independent sellers on the platform racked up more than $1 billion in sales.
  • Christine McVie, the singer-songwriter behind many Fleetwood Mac hits, died yesterday at 79.

FROM THE CREW

How business leaders overcame personal challenges

Imposters promo image

On Imposters, we sit down with titans of industry, sports, and entertainment to discuss the personal challenges they've overcome to get where they are today. It's honest, raw, and a reminder that we're all just doing the best we can. Check out some popular episodes:

This editorial content is supported by Ac+ion.

BREW'S BETS

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*This is sponsored advertising content.

GAMES

The puzzle section

Brew Mini: Mary just keeps one-upping herself with rad Mini crossword designs. See what she brewed up today.

Three headlines and a lie

Three of these headlines are real and one is faker than most LinkedIn advice. Can you guess the odd one out?

  1. 'Beer and Beards': Tallahassee mall criticized for promotion that offers booze to kids while they wait to see Santa
  2. FTX owes more than $55,000 to Jimmy Buffett's Margaritaville beach resort in the Bahamas
  3. World Cup frenzy puts strain on Qatar's camels
  4. French man wins right to not be 'fun' at work

If you love Three Headlines and a Lie, play along on The Refresh from Insider and dive deeper into these weird headlines.

AROUND THE BREW

Achieve your financial goals this year

Achieve your financial goals this year

Want to set goals for next year but don't know how to get started? The Money with Katie 2023 Wealth Planner is here. Track your income, spending, investing, debt, and net worth all in this easy-to-use tool. Get it today.

Stay informed about the latest tech with Emerging Tech Brew. It's the free newsletter that makes reading tech news fun and easy. Check it out.

We all know about the great "return to office" debate, but what else do employees expect in today's work environment? Tune in now to learn more.

ANSWER

That "Beer and Beards" one is not real. Do we have messed up brains? Maybe.

✢ A Note From Fundrise

*For more information, including all relevant disclaimers, check out the Fundrise Mid-Year Investor Letter.

         

Written by Abigail Rubenstein, Matty Merritt, Max Knoblauch, Sam Klebanov, and Neal Freyman

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