The agtech fighting climate change

Also: Public PE firms record phenomenal performance; Foodtech's growing segment of ultrafast delivery; Opportunities abound in enterprise healthtech.
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The Research Pitch
August 14, 2021
For all you podcast listeners…
  • Our lead PE analyst, Wylie Fernyhough, was on the latest episode of Capital Allocators to discuss his research on GP stakes and more.

  • Also for your queue, lead quantitative analyst Andy White talks about broader US VC trends on PitchBook's In Visible Capital.
How farmers are battling sustainability challenges with agtech
It's getting hot out there.

News this summer has been filled with stories about drought, wildfires and other effects of climate change on our health, safety and livelihoods.

The food system, in particular, is gaining attention for its role as both a significant contributor to and recipient of these changes. For example, a recent UN study linked food systems to one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions.

So, what technologies are being developed to address these challenges?
 
Click for a larger version of our visual agtech overview.

In a report last quarter, we introduced sustainability challenges and investment opportunities throughout the food system.

Our latest research focuses on the sustainability challenges facing farmers and the emerging technologies transforming the agriculture industry.

In the note, we find that global food demand is increasing along with population growth, which is expected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050.

At the same time, extreme weather events, water shortages and harsh industrial agriculture practices are threatening productivity and long-term farm fertility.

To fight back, farmers and other agriculture stakeholders are turning to diverse agtech solutions that mitigate sustainability challenges or help adapt to shifting conditions.

Here are a few highlights:
  • Emerging technologies, including biotech feed additives, field monitoring and analysis tools, and advanced farm equipment are addressing pollution challenges.

  • Innovative irrigation solutions, indoor farming strategies, and ag biotech inputs are helping agricultural operations adapt to drought.

  • Farms are tackling food waste challenges by identifying new ecommerce sales channels, deploying robotics and automation to perform agricultural tasks, and optimizing farm planning and management with new software tools.
Click to download our free research: "Transformative Agtech and Sustainability Challenges"

Feel free to reach out with any feedback or questions, or if you would like to discuss the research.
 
Best,

Alex Frederick
Senior Emerging Technology Analyst
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Thematic Research
Analysis of Public PE Firm Earnings: Q2

In Q2, Blackstone reported record appreciation in the value of its investments. KKR raised $59 billion last quarter alone, having raised $44 billion in all of 2020.

Everything, it seems, is getting easier for public PE giants these days—and the performance shows it.
 

One trend: the timeline for everything has been truncated. Whether it's deploying funds, realizing investments, or the fundraising process in general, everything has shortened and many large funds come back to market quicker than ever.

There's a lot more covered in our latest research on public PE firms, including a thorough breakdown of their latest financials:
read our free research
 
Emerging Tech Research
ENTERPRISE HEALTHTECH: After back-to-back record quarters for VC activity, enterprise healthtech investment dropped in Q2.

Cause for concern? Not according to our analysts, as pressure persists to improve patient outcomes while decreasing costs.

Those solutions will largely come from technologies that improve treatment discovery and delivery methods. Highlights from our latest research:
  • Health insurance tech companies are racing to market and require large amounts of capital to meet regulations and invest in value-based care technology to decrease long-term costs.

  • Consumer demand for patient engagement software is high, and these tech-enabled tools enable providers to deliver a robust and flexible experience while limiting labor costs.

  • Real-world evidence has the potential across the entire healthcare ecosystem—including for clinical trials, care provision and determining treatment outcomes.
read an executive summary
 
FOODTECH: A record pace of exit activity continues to showcase the maturity of the foodtech sector.

Indian food delivery company Zomato went public last month at an $8 billion valuation, and companies like Instacart and Eat Just are also primed for multibillion-dollar listings—perhaps by the end of the year.

Our latest sector research offers a look into emerging opportunities in the foodtech space:
  • VC investment of $6.2 billion across 280 deals in Q2 was actually down on a quarterly basis but still very strong historically. Activity was driven by ecommerce and delivery companies.

  • Ultrafast delivery, whereby providers promise deliveries of groceries and high-demand convenience items within 20 minutes (and sometimes even 10 minutes!), has seen a massive surge of investment.

  • Another early category gaining traction is microalgae, a segment within the alternative protein industry, as food scientists continue to explore new technologies that offer health and environmental benefits.
read an executive summary
 
Webinars & Events
How has cybersecurity funding fared amid the recent spate of ransomware attacks?

What's the latest news involving electric vehicle companies and SPACs?

Which geographies are most embracing food delivery?

Join our Emerging Tech analysts on Wednesday for a wide-ranging discussion on new trends within information security, mobility tech and food tech: register here.
  • Sept. 1: Our fund strategies and quantitative analysts will host a webinar on the investment styles of private managers. Register here.
Deal Commentary
Mobility tech analyst Asad Hussain weighs in on recent developments in the carsharing industry, including the news that Turo has confidentially filed for an IPO:

"Carsharing apps offer a significant layer of convenience and accessibility and provide an attractive alternative to the typically cumbersome process of renting a car.

"Relative to traditional car rental agencies, P2P providers do not own and operate vehicles, eliminating the costs of fleet procurement and management. This creates a more easily scalable business model that has the potential to drive higher margins.

"P2P carsharing is typically less expensive than traditional car rentals and creates a low-touch, seamless digital experience.

"As a result, P2P carsharing startups Turo and Getaround are taking market share from the traditional car rental industry, which has struggled from its operations-heavy approach and dependence on business travel.

"Turo, in particular, has benefited from pandemic conditions as consumers shy away from air travel in favor for road trips and renting local cars. As consumers can rent vehicles for multiple days, Turo is a great option for socially distanced vacations.

"Turo's listing would mark the latest of a swathe of EV/mobility companies to go public, mostly through SPAC mergers. The company's decision to forgo a SPAC in favor of a traditional IPO is indicative of a broader cooling of sentiment toward SPACs.

"Our EV/Mobility Price Change Index recorded a 9% loss in the first half of 2021, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 15.3% over the same period—even as several newly public mobility companies such as Nikola, Lordstown, and Canoo have hit snags."

 
Asad Hussain

Senior Emerging Technology Analyst
Mobility Tech
In the News
Our insights and data featured in the press:
  • DoorDash continues to expand into new verticals as the world of on-demand evolves. "Amazon can't handle the delivery needs of everyone." [Bloomberg]

  • But…the FTC's scrutiny over Uber's Drizly acquisition and Gopuff partnership indicates concern over power consolidation. "For food delivery companies, there's only so many levers they can pull to make money." [Quartz]

  • What are the factors supercharging M&A activity? "The combination of cheap financing, high stock prices, and highly confident executives is a recipe for dealmaking." [Private Equity Wire]

  • VC investment is growing at the intersection of AI and medical imaging, "but there's still uneven adoption overall and a degree of skepticism from health care providers." [dot.LA]
If you're a media member interested in interviewing our analysts, contact our PR team.
ICYMI
Highlights from our other research content published over the past few months:

Market updates Thematic research Emerging Technology Research (free previews) Coming next week (subject to change)
  • Q2 Emerging Technology Indicator (sneak peek)
  • Q2 Private Fund Strategies Report
  • Emerging Healthtech Opportunities: Real-World Evidence
  • ETR: Insurtech
Thanks for reading! Feel free to email us any time with feedback, questions or tips!

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☕️ Feeling down

The biggest cartel is getting even bigger...
August 14, 2021 View Online | Sign Up

Daily Brew

The Ascent

Good morning. Since we spend every morning together, we thought we'd give you a peek into what's going on in our lives this weekend.

  • Jamie: Going on a hike in Malibu with her puppy, Finn, and she got him a little backpack to nap in when he gets tired.
  • Matty: Flying home to Nebraska to go to the best zoo in the country.
  • Neal: Watching Liverpool and just maybe not thinking about business news while on a South Jersey beach. 

What about you?

MARKETS

Nasdaq

14,822.90

S&P

4,468.00

Dow

35,515.38

Bitcoin

$47,637.76

10-Year

1.286%

Disney

$181.08

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 5:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: It wasn't always pretty, but the Dow and the S&P hit new all-time highs to close out a winning week. Disney got a small boost after revealing its US parks returned to profitability last quarter.
  • Covid: A CDC panel recommended a booster shot for people with weakened immune systems yesterday, following authorization by the FDA a day earlier. The order will apply to about 2.7% of US adults.  

INTERNATIONAL

Taliban Advance Is Bad News for the Drug Trade

Opium poppies grow near the border with Pakistan. (Photo by David Bathga...

David Bathgate/Getty Images

The Taliban, an Islamic fundamentalist group that brutally ruled Afghanistan in the late '90s, has taken over more than half of Afghanistan's provincial capitals as of yesterday evening, including the country's second-largest city, Kandahar. Four cities fell to the Taliban's rule Thursday night alone. 

The Taliban's advance comes months after President Biden announced plans to withdraw all US troops from the country to end the US' longest-running war. But now, Biden's sent 7,000 troops back to evacuate the American embassy and US citizens.

  • Afghanistan's capital and largest city, Kabul, is still under government control, along with three other major Afghan cities—but one of those is currently under siege and the rest are being closed in on. 
  • The Taliban now effectively controls all of southern Afghanistan, and US officials told the NYT that the Biden administration is preparing for the possibility of the Afghan government collapsing within the next month.

One of the many ramifications of the Taliban's onslaught: It could pour fuel on the illegal drug market.

The "world's biggest cartel" is getting bigger

Even insurgents need capital to fuel their ventures, and the Taliban's biggest source of revenue is the drug trade. The organization made $416 million trafficking opium, heroin, and increasingly meth in fiscal year 2020, per the Conversation. 

And in the Afghan countryside now under Taliban control, opium poppies are in perpetual superbloom. Afghanistan is the world's biggest producer of opium, which most heroin is derived from: 84% of all the world's opium was sourced from the country from 2015–20, per the UN's World Drug Report.

  • The Taliban has also started peddling meth recently. And ephedra, a plant used to make methamphetamine, grows natively in Afghanistan.

But the Taliban didn't just beef up its drug supply. It also took over international crossing points to ramp up distribution, gaining access to Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran, and Pakistan. From those countries, drugs can be shipped to the rest of the world. 

Bottom line: The Taliban's power grab likely means more heroin and meth will be pushed into the hands of dealers and users around the world.

        

ECONOMY

Economists' Fall Plans // The Delta Variant

Barnett and Amber from Love is Blind next to Jessica drinking wine

Netflix

US consumer sentiment plunged 13.5% from July to its lowest level since 2011—yes, even lower than when they tried to make Barnett the most desirable man on Love is Blind. The dive was primarily sparked by concerns surrounding the Delta variant.

What exactly is "consumer sentiment"? Each month, the University of Michigan surveys 500 people across the continental US about how they're feeling re: personal finances and business conditions. It's one data point used to evaluate how the economy is faring.

What happened? The Michigan survey's chief economist said such a dramatic change is an "emotional response, mainly from dashed hopes that the pandemic would end soon."

  • It's not just consumers going blue. Only 39% of US small business owners said this month that they expect economic conditions to improve in the next year, compared to 50% in July, per a study from Vistage Worldwide.

Bottom line: Surging Delta cases and reinstated mask mandates are giving Americans flashbacks to the early days of the pandemic. And some companies, such as Southwest Airlines, are saying that concerns about Delta are cramping the economic recovery. 

        

WORK

New Covid Wave Upends Back-to-Work Plans

Chart showing how the Delta variant caused companies to reassess back to work plans

Nearly 47% of respondents to a Morning Brew survey said their employers are reconsidering return-to-office plans because of the spread of the Delta variant. 

Not only does that show how seriously employers are treating the latest Covid wave, but also how comfortable they are with remote work. Last quarter companies scored some of their best financial results ever...without employees seeing the inside of an office. 

We posed several other questions to readers about remote work and the pandemic. Here's what we learned:

  • Commutes are the worst: "No commute" was the top choice for what readers like most about working from home.
  • Offices are still empty: 75% of respondents are working fully remote, while 20% head in a few times a week. 4.5% are fully in-person.
  • People miss their coworkers: Readers said socializing with colleagues was the thing they missed most about not working in an office, followed by the opportunity to work in a different setting other than their house.
  • But they like working from home: 66% of readers said working from home during the pandemic was better than expected.
        

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GRAB BAG

Key Performance Indicators

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JULY 29: Max Schneider aka MAX performs during Lolla...

Erika Goldring/Getty Images

Stat: Just 203 coronavirus cases were found in connection to the Lollapalooza music festival several weeks ago, according to Chicago health officials, indicating "no sign of a 'superspreader' event." The festival, attended by about 385,000 people, required proof of vaccination or a negative Covid test upon entrance.

Quote: "It will be in textbooks."

How physiologist Leanne Redman described a new paper on metabolism to the NYT. The paper, published Thursday in Science, may have upended what we thought we knew about metabolism, concluding that it doesn't decrease from age 20 to 60 and that there are no real differences in the metabolic rates of men and women. 

Read: Why China's crypto cowboys are fleeing to Texas. (Rest of World)

        

PERSONAL FINANCE

Money Matters: Taking the Plunge on a House

Gingerbread house

Giphy

Note: Sadly, this is the final Money Matters column...ever. Author Ryan Lasker will be writing a personal finance newsletter that starts next Tuesday. You should sign up

Hey Ryan, when should I make the transition from renting an apartment to buying a house?—Tai from Texas

I could write a mile-long column about this, but Neal told me I have 200 words. So here goes.

A few prereqs for buying a house: a solid credit score to qualify for a good mortgage rate, cash for maintenance and repairs (2%–4% of your home's value), and no plans to move for a while. Oh, and some more cash for a down payment—somewhere between 5% and 20% of the purchase price.

Owning a home can make for a great investment. Median US home sale prices climbed 46% between 2007—the height of the subprime mortgage crisis—and this June, per the St. Louis Fed. Real estate is a much less volatile investment than stocks, making it a better place to preserve wealth.

However, just because you can buy a house doesn't mean you're ready. For some, it's much more appealing to rent so that you can dial up a landlord when your AC unit freezes over (not speaking from experience). The average HVAC unit is $7,000, and I cannot think of a more boring way to spend that much money.

Bottom line: Buy a house when you find the perfect place at the right price and are ready to take on the financial and physical responsibility.

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • A federal judge denied a request from landlords to halt the Biden administration's new freeze on evictions.
  • Boeing delayed the launch of its Starliner astronaut capsule...again...meaning it could be months before this thing gets airborne.
  • Samsung's de facto leader, Jay Y. Lee, left jail on parole yesterday after serving 18 months for his role in a massive political scandal.
  • Richard Branson sold $300 million worth of Virgin Galactic shares (not the first time he's sold a bunch of stock since the company went public).
  • Amazon is moving production of its upcoming Lord of the Rings TV show from New Zealand to the UK.

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FROM THE CREW

Brew's Bookshelf

books

Every other week, Brew's Bookshelf brings you a few of our favorite business-related reads.

  1. If Modern Monetary Theory confuses you, or if you've never even heard of that term before, let Stephanie Kelton break it down for you in her classic, The Deficit Myth.
  2. Adam Harris's The State Must Provide dives into the origin stories of America's colleges and universities.

BREW'S BETS

Kick your career into gear: Morning Brew's MB/A accelerator program takes the standard MBA, cuts out nearly all the cost and time, and offers the same networking opportunities, expert coaching, and hard skill development. The deadline to apply is tomorrow, so check it out right now.

Back to work: As part of our series on Covid and the workplace, we speak with unvaccinated workers returning to the office—and explore how employers are dealing with it. Read it here.

Conversation starters: 

GAMES

Brew Crossword: Let's Declare a Truce

Brew Crossword

Today's puzzle includes clues about a TikTok star, James Corden, and Megan Thee Stallion. Yeah, it's not your average crossword. Give it a try here.

SHARE THE BREW

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Written by Jamie Wilde, Matty Merritt, Neal Freyman, and Ryan Lasker

Illustrations & graphics by Francis Scialabba

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