Your Weekend Briefing

Afghanistan, Haiti, 'Jeopardy!'

Welcome to the Weekend Briefing. We're covering the Taliban's sweep in Afghanistan, a violent earthquake in Haiti and the big business of ice cream.

A man selling Taliban flags in Herat on Saturday, two days after the provincial capital fell.Hamed Sarfarazi/Associated Press

1. The Taliban are on the verge of a complete takeover of Afghanistan.

The group has encircled Kabul, the country's capital and the last major city under government control, after toppling other urban centers one after another over the past week.

A U.S. Embassy evacuation is underway, and Secretary of State Antony Blinken was expected to speak about the situation later Sunday. Follow here for live updates.

The Taliban, in a statement, said that they were in negotiations with the government and would not take the capital by force. The Afghan government had no immediate public response.

As Taliban forces set their sights on Kabul, the U.S. faces a harsh reality check: Its two-decade effort to turn Afghanistan's military into an effective fighting force has been an abject failure.

In the end, an Afghan military that did not believe in itself and a U.S. effort that President Biden no longer believed in "combined to bring an ignoble close to America's longest war," our reporters write in an analysis. These maps show the stunning speed of the Taliban advance after the U.S. began to withdraw in May.

The Taliban's military campaign has spurred a mass exodus, and many Afghans fear a return to extremist rule. When the Taliban ruled the country from 1996 to 2001, they barred women and girls from taking most jobs or going to school, and practically made them prisoners in their own homes.

Les Cayes, Haiti, was one of two cities that reported major damage.Joseph Odelyn/Associated Press

2. A powerful earthquake struck Haiti, killing more than 300 people and injuring at least 1,800.

The magnitude-7.2 quake flattened buildings and trapped people under rubble in at least two cities in the western part of the country. It struck about 80 miles west of Port-au-Prince. "The streets are filled with screaming," an archdeacon said. "People are searching, for loved ones or resources, medical help, water."

The Biden administration, the United Nations and private relief agencies that operate in Haiti promised urgent help.

The disaster could not have come at a worse time for Haiti, which has been in the throes of a political crisis since President Jovenel Moïse was assassinated last month, and has yet to recover fully from a 2010 quake that killed 220,000 people. Saturday's quake occurred along the same fault line.

A nursing home staff member in Washington, D.C., received a Covid vaccine shot in February.Kenny Holston for The New York Times

3. The White House is working on a plan to start offering Covid-19 vaccine boosters to some Americans as early as October.

With a stockpile of at least 100 million doses at the ready, the first boosters are likely to go to nursing home residents and health care workers, followed by other older people. Officials envision giving people a third dose of the same vaccine that they originally received. Scientists are still debating whether the extra shots are needed, but administration officials said they could not afford to wait to figure out the logistics of providing boosters to millions of people.

This week, the F.D.A. authorized third doses of the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines for certain people with weakened immune systems and the C.D.C. recommended them.

Children and adults protested outside the school district building in Marietta, Ga., on Thursday.Audra Melton for The New York Times

4. It was going to be a relatively normal new school year. That was before the surge in the Delta variant.

There have been more than twice as many daily virus cases this week as there were one year ago, and pediatric hospitalizations are rising in many regions. Interviews with families across the country revealed a politicized, bewildering experience for many parents, students and educators. Parents are struggling to make decisions for their children: Vaccines? Masks? Online schooling?

Wealthy countries have become used to the idea that children are extremely rare pandemic victims. But the toll in developing countries tells a different story. In Indonesia, hundreds of children have died from Covid-19 in recent weeks amid a Delta surge.

The Alegria Inn in Mendocino relies on a water company to truck in drinking water.Max Whittaker for The New York Times

5. California's drought is revealing that even more than rain, it is money and infrastructure that will dictate who gets sufficient water.

The drought, and other effects of climate change, have drawn a bold line under the weaknesses of smaller communities with fewer resources. In towns along the Northern Coast that typically get much more rain, wells are running dry; in arid Southern California, reservoirs, built up through a century of planning and financial muscle, are nearly full.

Farther north, the Pacific Northwest's latest round of sweltering temperatures has exposed how communities built for mild summers are grossly unprepared for the extreme heat.

Many leading Republicans are changing their tune on climate change after a decade of denying it. That doesn't mean they're supporting cleaner energy.

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The relationship between Senator Lindsey Graham and Donald Trump has confounded many.Al Drago for The New York Times

6. Lindsey Graham once called Donald Trump "a race-baiting, xenophobic bigot." Now he's regularly golfing at Mar-a-Lago and advising the former president on his future.

The South Carolina senator believes that he alone can fix Trump and make him a unifying figure for Republicans to take back both houses of Congress next year. To get inside one of the unlikeliest relationships in politics, our reporters spoke with more than 60 people, and with the senator himself, and found "an infinitely adaptable operator seeking validation in the proximity to power."

Separately, since George Floyd's murder last year, books on race and racism have driven the publishing industry. Now, conservative publishers see gold in titles catering to the backlash, seizing on the firestorm over critical race theory at a time when the Republican Party plans to focus on culture-war issues in the 2022 midterm elections.

Mike Richards, Jeopardy's executive producer, will become the show's regular host.Carol Kaelson/Sony Pictures Entertainment

7. "It is a little like choosing a pope."

That's Ken Jennings, who rose to fame after winning a record 74 "Jeopardy!" games, on the search to replace the late Alex Trebek. Jennings was considered by many to be a shoo-in. But the decades-old game show has been rocked by drama over who would become the next host.

After a cattle call of rotating guest hosts, the announcement of Mike Richards, the show's obscure executive producer, as the winner sent fans into a tailspin. Critics accused him of rigging the contest, while some fans argued that a little-known host was a better outcome than a celebrity.

The business of high end ice cream is enough to give you a headache.Amy Lombard for The New York Times

8. There's never been a better time to eat ice cream — or a more cutthroat time to sell it.

By providing stay-at-home comfort during the pandemic, the $7 billion industry increased by 17 percent in 2020. Artisan ice cream is growing even faster than the mainstream varieties and is considered the industry's future. But the spoils of success have heightened competition in the $10-a-pint world.

For a frozen treat at home, try an affogato. Made with cold gelato (or ice cream) and warm espresso (or drip coffee), this Italian dessert merges two sublime pleasures in one glass.

Not everyone is a fan of this painting by Parmigianino. Critic Jason Farago is.

9. This painting by Parmigianino is weird, contrived and full of mis-scaled figures. Our critic Jason Farago explains why it's one of his favorites.

If you wanted to describe the "Madonna of the Long Neck" in a contemporary way, you could say that this painting is extra. The elongated neck and fingers of Mary, the stylized hair, the large Jesus who looks dead rather than sleeping. Yet the Italian artist, who was painting in the Mannerist style, knew exactly what he was doing, putting aside imitation and going over the top.

"The gracefulness, the artifice — or, let's say it, the pretension — demonstrated his cultivation," Farago explains in his latest Close Read.

Is live music back? Ask the AG Club fans at Lollapalooza.Jesse Lirola for The New York Times

10. And finally, at your leisure.

The return of live music (maybe). How your cup of coffee is clearing the jungle. A pivotal new study on metabolism. Read these and more in the latest edition of The Weekender.

Did you follow the news this week? Test your knowledge. And here's the front page of our Sunday paper, the Sunday Review from Opinion and today's Mini Crossword and Spelling Bee. If you're in the mood to play more, find all our games here.

Have a creative week.

David Poller compiled photos for this briefing.

Your Weekend Briefing is published Sundays at 6:30 a.m. Eastern.

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PE sees potential windfall in infrastructure bill

Plus: Microalgae-based burgers, Q2's boom in healthtech exits, SoftBank looks beyond China & more
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The Weekend Pitch
August 15, 2021
Presented by Masterworks
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Hello and welcome back to The Weekend Pitch. Adam Lewis here. I'm back from my summer sabbatical. And just in time for infrastructure week, no less. So let's jump right into it. Oh, and email me at adam.lewis@pitchbook.com or hit me up on Twitter at @AdamLewisPI if you'd like to chime in.

A PE windfall from infrastructure package is no sure thing

The US Senate this week passed a sweeping $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill, marking President Biden's biggest legislative victory to date. But it remains unclear if the bill will be a win for a US private equity industry that has raised hundreds of billions over the past decade to rebuild the country's roads, bridges, utilities and more.

Public-private partnerships, also known as P3s, have struggled to gain traction in the US, even as the country's infrastructure has slowly crumbled. The Senate bill, which totals some 2,700 pages, attempts to change that by directing states and municipalities to consider instituting public-private agreements. Part of the infrastructure bill requires local governments seeking federal funding for a project of over $750 million to run a cost analysis on a private partnership.

But the bill reportedly doesn't require local governments to actually create public-private partnerships. That means investors that have raised billions for infrastructure deals could be in the precarious position of having ample dry powder but few opportunities to spend.

And the bill still needs to pass a divided House of Representatives before being signed into law.

Investment is needed. The American Society of Civil Engineers gave the country's infrastructure a "C-" grade in a 2021 report card, reportedly estimating that it would cost almost $2.6 trillion to implement the necessary repairs and earn a "B" grade.

Some within the private equity industry have sounded an optimistic tone about the legislation. Adam Bernstein, a managing director at infrastructure and impact investor North Sky Capital, said the bill could open the door for more investment in electrical vehicle infrastructure, renewables and the electrical grid. And that could open the door for mega-deals.

"You're going to have to take some big swings," Bernstein explained. "And you would just have to think that a larger infrastructure fund would be able to participate in that."

Over the past decade, infrastructure fundraising has climbed, albeit in fits and starts, with the total raised peaking at more than $46 billion in 2018, according to PitchBook data.

Private equity firms have turned to infrastructure deals in part because they are often immune to the level of volatility seen by fixed income or equities, for instance. And the contracts can often last decades, providing steady returns regardless of broader market trends.

In 2017, Blackstone announced it would raise $40 billion for an infrastructure fund, with $20 billion coming from the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia. But the vehicle has struggled to get off the ground. In Blackstone's fourth quarter earnings call, president Jonathan Gray said the vehicle had raised around $14 billion, well short of its original target.
(Mike Brinson/Getty Images)
Over the past few years, there's been growing angst about allowing private equity firms to dip their beaks into public works projects. In Bayonne, N.J., water bills spiked 28% after KKR invested in the city's public water systems, according to an analysis by The New York Times. Other cities including Missoula, Mont. have actually sued to buy back their water systems.

Private equity investments in public utilities haven't always gone well for the firms, either. In 2014, electricity company Energy Future Holdings filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, bogged down by more than $40 billion in debt after TPG, KKR and the private equity arm of Goldman Sachs took the company private in 2007 in a $45 billion deal.

At the time, The Wall Street Journal reported it was the eighth largest bankruptcy in the history of the US. And it's one of the most high-profile LBOs to ever fail, with the firms reportedly losing a combined $8 billion of their invested capital.

"Overall, a lot of money has been raised, and that's commensurate with the capital needs of the amount of infrastructure spending," Bernstein said. "That, of course, doesn't guarantee it'll end up being a good investment."

For local and state governments, it's not always easy to know whether or not to partner with PE. Governments often tap the $4 trillion municipal bond market for financing. This allows them to keep more of the profits from massive infrastructure projects to themselves, but they are then responsible for any cost overruns.

For North Sky, Bernstein sees an opportunity to pour more capital into lower-middle-market infrastructure projects, with investments ranging between $15 million and $20 million and on a shorter timeline than the typical private equity holding period, which can extend up to seven years.

"Where we see the opportunity is to really partner with those smaller counties [and] cities that may not necessarily need 100 MW solar or wind farms or electricity, but may need to refurbish a recycling facility, or a water treatment plant, or a smaller, renewable electricity facility," he said. "And those are the kinds of transactions that aren't going to get attention from some of the larger players."
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Did you know ...

(Ed Reschke/Getty Images)
… That you might see a burger made of microalgae showing up on your menu soon? The hunt for sustainable food sources has led a new crop of startups to explore microalgae as an alternate protein.

Because the unicellular species offers a host of supply chain, health and environmental benefits, microalgae could help many large food companies meet their bold pledges to focus on processes that are carbon neutral.

PitchBook's latest Emerging Tech Research report has more details on microalgae startups and global VC deal activity in the nascent sector.

Quote/Unquote


Coinbase recently reported a net revenue of $2 billion for Q2, marking an increase of more than 11 times from the same period last year.

Deal Flow

(Tetra Images/Getty Images)
VC-backed enterprise healthtech exits are having an exceptionally strong year, with global startups adding more than $15 billion in exit value in the second quarter of 2021.
  • Bright Health was the fourth health insurer to go public this year, raising a record-setting $924.3 million in its IPO.

  • Q2 had the lowest quarterly deal count globally since 2014. However, overall VC deal value in the vertical continues to surpass prior years—a sign of industry maturity, according to our latest Emerging Tech Research report on enterprise healthtech.

Datapoints


Venture deals outside of China now account for 89% of SoftBank's new investments, compared with 62% in 2018, according to PitchBook data.

The investor will push pause on Chinese deals until Beijing's changing regulatory landscape and its stock market impact are better understood, but the Japanese tech behemoth has no intention of abandoning the Chinese market, CEO Masayoshi Son said on an earnings call.

Recommended reads

How a police shooting in 1971 set in motion a decadeslong chase across the American West. [Deseret News]

In hopes of higher returns, asset owners are increasingly turning to co-investments alongside private equity firms or hedge funds. But experts warn there can be pitfalls. [Institutional Investor]

Energy companies are beginning to pitch the idea that planet-warming natural gases can be erased by paying villagers to protect forests. Can it work? [Bloomberg]

Somewhere between 20,000 and 130,000 people are farming coffee illegally within an Indonesian national park. And while that may seem like an easy crime to stop, a globalized economy can sometimes undermine even the best-laid plans. [The New York Times]

One rock band's recent embrace of non-fungible tokens has provided a wake-up call for the music industry. [Forbes]

Computer scientist and humanities professor Philip Agre predicted a dark side to the internet some 30 years ago. So why did no one listen? [The Washington Post]
This edition of The Weekend Pitch was written by Adam Lewis and Priyamvada Mathur. It was edited by Kate Rainey, Angela Sams and Sam Steele.

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